Right on the spot.

But… my fear (because there’s fear in my ideas) is that islamists and salafis won’t accept graciously to be set down and moved away so simply.

Also I feel that the army will have the temptation to keep power for themselves, and rule as many egyptians request smiling from Tahrir. Why?

Just this morning I heard on spanish public TV news that there’s already been night fights and combats in the Libyan border, which increases the suspect of transfers of weaponry and radical fighters from that hell into explosive Egypt. That could create inestability, attacks on churches, on politicians, on women, on foreign tourists, on seculars, in the same way that happened in Algeria for decades.

The objective would be simply to provoke the failure of the new government, the retake of control by army, based on emergency situations that can last for years, … and the failure of the whole project, in the same way as happened in Syria.

I remember when the “Arab Spring” appeared, all annalists said that main damaged by it had not been the west, for loosing its political pawns, but Al-Qaeda, and all those armed resistance groups, as people revolted without violence, and achieved far more that way than following armed resistance practices.

Well…. Libya and Syria have been good examples of how hard and fast they could react to crush any hope for achievement of a real democratic system through peaceful popular uprising.

And they are facing a new chance with this 2nd Revolution and the return of military to power.

It’s not over, for them… and for the revolution. It will be hard and will last for years, if it’s not stopped PEACEFULLY AND DEMOCRATICALLY now. If not, we’ll face an “algerisation” of the Nile nation, with jihaddist gangs creating trouble and a military junta with extended emergency powers… while seculars and well-aimed individuals who promoted this necessary social and political change look at the painful global outcome in absolute astonishment.

That’s my fear.

And still… I want to have hope.


The Accidental Theologist

I’m surprising myself by writing this.  And I’m sure I’ll surprise — and maybe severely disappoint — many of you who read this blog.  But then Egypt has been surprising us all for the past two years, and I suspect will keep surprising us for some time to come.

The point being:  even though I share the extreme wariness — indeed, the loathing — of the idea of the military intervening in politics (any military, anywhere), I’m glad that the Egyptian military has ousted the Morsi regime.

Is it really a coup d’état, as many (non-Egyptian) liberals are saying, and as the Muslim Brotherhood insists?

Not exactly.  The army forcibly removed a democratically elected government, but not a democratic one.  An analysis of the Brotherhood’s dismal failure in The Huffington Post points to its “limited understanding of democracy, which is restricted to the mechanics of voting, elections and ballot boxes…

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